090507 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 1		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line		Actual Spread	Choice
Indianapolis		New Orleans	-1.42		-1.77		-6.0	A
Minnesota		Atlanta	0.77		0.98		-3.0	A
St. Louis		Carolina	4.48		3.03		-1.5	A
Buffalo		Denver	2.65		1.93		3.0	H
Houston		Kansas City	7.06		4.00		-3.0	A
Washington		Miami	1.67		2.14		-3.0	A
N.Y. Jets		New England	6.35		3.49		6.5	H
Green Bay		Philadelphia	8.19		4.36		3.0	A
Cleveland		Pittsburgh	10.71		6.26		4.5	A
Jacksonville		Tennessee	5.56		1.47		-6.5	A
San Diego		Chicago	-3.73		-2.70		-6.0	A
Oakland		Detroit	7.85		4.95		-1.5	A
Seattle		Tampa Bay	-11.33		-7.21		-6.0	H
Dallas		N.Y. Giants	-5.29		-2.85		-6.0	A
Cincinnati		Baltimore	4.79		3.96		-2.5	A
San Francisco		Arizona	-2.81		-1.83		-3.0	H
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line		Actual Over Under	Choice
Indianapolis		New Orleans	47.56		52.50		52.5	U
Minnesota		Atlanta	37.66		35.88		36.0	U
St. Louis		Carolina	41.34		39.81		42.5	U
Buffalo		Denver	38.59		38.69		37.0	O
Houston		Kansas City	39.97		37.38		38.0	U
Washington		Miami	38.31		35.44		35.0	O
N.Y. Jets		New England	37.78		43.81		41.0	U
Green Bay		Philadelphia	43.53		43.69		43.5	O
Cleveland		Pittsburgh	39.44		36.94		36.5	O
Jacksonville		Tennessee	42.78		43.44		37.5	O
San Diego		Chicago	46.16		57.44		42.5	O
Oakland		Detroit	37.59		29.56		40.0	U
Seattle		Tampa Bay	38.75		34.13		41.0	U
Dallas		N.Y. Giants	46.63		48.75		44.0	O
Cincinnati		Baltimore	39.31		45.38		40.5	U
San Francisco		Arizona	42.66		38.25		45.0	U
Choice: O = Over; U = Under