100707 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 5		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Spread	Choice
St. Louis		Arizona	3.72		1.83	3.5	H
Tennessee		Atlanta	-6.05		-8.32	-9.0	A
New Orleans		Carolina	6.10		-1.04	-3.0	A
New England		Cleveland	-16.08		-9.51	-16.5	A
Washington		Detroit	5.35		0.42	-3.5	A
Kansas City		Jacksonville	-1.18		-5.66	1.0	H
Houston		Miami	-7.45		-7.59	-5.0	H
N.Y. Giants		N.Y. Jets	-4.62		-6.18	-3.5	H
Pittsburgh		Seattle	5.12		-2.47	-6.0	A
Indianapolis		Tampa Bay	-10.85		-10.24	-9.5	H
San Francisco		Baltimore	1.49		-1.58	3.5	H
Denver		San Diego	-0.85		-5.57	1.0	H
Green Bay		Chicago	-6.85		-10.99	-3.0	H
Buffalo		Dallas	8.90		9.63	10.0	H
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		5	9		0
Overall		22	35		5
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Over Under	Choice
St. Louis		Arizona	43.77		32.32	40.5	U
Tennessee		Atlanta	40.30		38.45	40.5	U
New Orleans		Carolina	47.83		34.54	43.5	U
New England		Cleveland	52.94		63.49	48.5	O
Washington		Detroit	53.50		44.58	46.0	O
Kansas City		Jacksonville	35.39		33.74	36.0	U
Houston		Miami	44.25		42.99	43.5	O
N.Y. Giants		N.Y. Jets	52.18		39.12	40.5	O
Pittsburgh		Seattle	43.63		48.13	40.0	O
Indianapolis		Tampa Bay	44.98		52.11	45.0	O
San Francisco		Baltimore	45.10		33.84	35.0	O
Denver		San Diego	47.51		37.71	42.5	O
Green Bay		Chicago	42.68		44.56	40.5	O
Buffalo		Dallas	52.62		46.29	45.0	O
Choice: O = Over; U = Under
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		3	10		1
Overall		27	31		4