Saturday, September 29, 2007

092907 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 4

NFL 2007 Season

by Guichard Cadet

Home

Away

Hedging

Straight Line

Actual Spread

Choice

Cleveland

Baltimore

15.17

6.82

4.0

A

Detroit

Chicago

13.50

6.95

2.5

A

Minnesota

Green Bay

5.17

5.60

1.0

A

Atlanta

Houston

1.17

4.12

2.5

A

Buffalo

N.Y. Jets

5.17

5.42

3.5

A

Miami

Oakland

-6.50

-5.15

-4.0

H

Dallas

St. Louis

-8.17

-17.30

-13.0

A

San Francisco

Seattle

1.83

0.36

1.0

A

Carolina

Tampa Bay

-8.17

-6.56

-3.0

H

Indianapolis

Denver

-8.17

-10.90

-10.0

A

San Diego

Kansas City

-9.83

-10.59

-11.5

A

Arizona

Pittsburgh

6.83

4.79

6.0

H

N.Y. Giants

Philadelphia

1.83

1.89

2.5

H

Cincinnati

New England

8.50

3.65

7.5

H

Choice: A = Away; H = Home

WINS

LOSSES

PUSH

Last Week

6

8

2

Overall

17

26

5

Home

Away

Hedging

Straight Line

Actual Over Under

Choice

Cleveland

Baltimore

50.26

50.99

40.0

O

Detroit

Chicago

51.61

37.79

45.0

U

Minnesota

Green Bay

39.43

43.74

37.5

O

Atlanta

Houston

38.39

37.99

39.5

U

Buffalo

N.Y. Jets

45.20

29.08

37.5

U

Miami

Oakland

43.75

41.46

41.0

O

Dallas

St. Louis

52.50

47.92

46.5

O

San Francisco

Seattle

43.85

38.93

40.5

O

Carolina

Tampa Bay

45.60

44.84

40.0

O

Indianapolis

Denver

42.63

46.77

46.5

U

San Diego

Kansas City

40.67

31.74

38.0

U

Arizona

Pittsburgh

43.60

51.78

41.5

O

N.Y. Giants

Philadelphia

58.40

50.84

47.5

O

Cincinnati

New England

52.93

66.06

53.5

O

Choice: O = Over; U = Under

WINS

LOSSES

PUSH

Last Week

8

6

2

Overall

24

21

3