Monday, June 23, 2008

NCAA PCM – Draft Board / Report 2008

By Guichard Cadet

Unlike previous drafts, the activity will mainly center on the picks themselves and NOT the current players traded. Though I do foresee 3 key trades, selecting the Lottery (top 14 picks) proved much harder than previous years.

Thankfully, the PCM helped clear some of the confusion, which led to a DRAFT BOARD based on “NEED” as opposed to strictly a projection of where a team plans to be in X number of years. This is the reality of today’s NBA where player movement is technically “RESTRICTED” until realistically their 8th year in the league, unless they have no value to their team.

So, teams should look to not get saddled with “unmovable” contracts and use the draft to build a core of 3 KEY young players.

FIRST ROUND






Pick Number

TEAM

CHOICE

1

Chicago Bulls

Derrick Rose


Would not be surprised if Beasley is the pick. Drafting Rose creates a messy situation, leading to forced trades - Hinrich / Nocioni.

2

Miami Heat

Michael Beasley

3

Minnesota Timberwolves

Brook Lopez


If McHale is a gambler, trade down for DeAndre Jordan.

4

Seattle Supersonics

O.J. Mayo

5

Memphis Grizzlies

Kevin Love

6

New York Knicks

Trade Pick


Such a logjam at every position. Cannot think of a player to draft. Best to to clear contracts, the mid-sized one first: Richardson, Jeffries and James.

7

Los Angeles Clippers

D.J. Augustin

8

Milwaukee Bucks

Trade Pick


Need an infusion of talent at every position, except SG: Redd, the guy making the most and is ironically the trade bait.

9

Charlotte Bobcats

Roy Hibbert

10

New Jersey Nets

D.J. White

11

Indiana Pacers

Jamar Butler


There's talk of a trade for a PG and change of culture. Too much talent to throw-in the towel; wait until mid-season to decide.

12

Sacramento Kings

Kentrell Gransberry

13

Portland Trail Blazers

Russell Westbrook

14

Golden State Warriors

Jerryd Bayless

15

Phoenix Suns (from Atlanta)

Chris Douglas-Roberts

16

Philadelphia 76ers

Marreese Speights

17

Toronto Raptors

DeAndre Jordan -- OFF THE BOARD PICK


Package the right players to get Minny's pick to give Bosh more help, or take this gamble.

18

Washington Wizards

Joe Alexander

19

Cleveland Cavaliers

Eric Gordon -- OFF THE BOARD PICK


Give up the expiring contracts and take back SALARY for the Knicks or Bucks pick, unless Gordon is still available.

20

Denver Nuggets

Darrell Arthur

21

New Jersey Nets (from Dallas)

Anthony Randolph

22

Orlando Magic

Jamont Gordon

23

Utah Jazz

Robin Lopez

24

Seattle SuperSonics (from Phoenix)

JaVale McGee -- OFF THE BOARD PICK


Keep drafting Centers until one pans out, or get expiring contracts for teams looking to get younger.

25

Houston Rockets

Brandon Rush

26

San Antonio Spurs

Richard Roby

27

New Orleans

Joey Dorsey

28

Memphis Grizzlies (from L.A. Lakers)

Trade Pick


No need to bring in another young player, get an expiring contract to shed more salary.

29

Detroit Pistons

Bill Walker

30

Boston Celtics

DeVon Hardin





*3 First Round Trades would most affect the "Off the Board Picks": DeAndre Jordan, Eric Gordon; or selection of International Players.





SECOND ROUND



Pick Number

TEAM

CHOICE

31

Minnesota Timberwolves (from Miami)

Donte Greene

32

Seattle Supersonics

Davon Jefferson

33

Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis)

Shan Foster

34

Minnesota Timberwolves

Kyle Weaver

35

Los Angeles Clippers

DeMarcus Nelson

36

Portland Trail Blazers (from New York)

Mario Chalmers

37

Milwaukee Bucks

Richard Hendrix

38

Charlotte Bobcats

Sasha Kaun

39

Chicago Bulls


Luc Richard Mbah a Moute

40

New Jersey Nets

Aleks Maric

41

Indiana Pacers

J.J. Hickson

42

Sacramento Kings (from Atlanta)

Sean Singletary

43

Sacramento Kings

Shaun Pruitt

44

Utah Jazz (from Philadelphia)

Chris Lofton

45

San Antonio Spurs (from Toronto)

Darnell Jackson

46

Seattle SuperSonics (from Portland)

David Padgett

47

Washington Wizards

Patrick Ewing Jr.

48

Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland)

Courtney Lee

49

Golden State Warriors

Kyle Hines

50

Seattle SuperSonics (from Denver)

Pat Calathes

51

Dallas Mavericks

Jason Thompson

52

Miami Heat (from Orlando)

Deron Washington

53

Utah Jazz

Reggie Williams

54

Houston Rockets

Malik Hairston

55

Portland Trail Blazers (from Phoenix)

Sundiata Gaines

56

Seattle SuperSonics (from New Orleans)

J.R. Giddens

57

San Antonio Spurs

Mark Tyndale

58

Los Angeles Lakers

Jaycee Carroll

59

Detroit Pistons

Gary Forbes

60

Boston Celtics

Trent Plaisted

Sunday, June 15, 2008

NCAA PCM – Draft Applicants 2008

By Guichard Cadet

As a prelude to this year’s pre-draft report, here is a ranking of this year’s Eligible players on the eve of the final day to “pull out”.

In last year’s pre-NBA Draft report, I listed 10 of the 14 players selected by lottery teams (not a hard feat) because most watchers know who the best players are. A similar report will come on the eve of the draft.

To go with drawing up a list, the key was predicting 15 current NBA players to be traded: Ray Allen, Pau Gasol, Wally Szczerbiak, Jason Richardson, Ben Wallace, Mike Bibby, Nazr Mohammed, Jason Kidd, Steve Francis, Shawn Marion, Kurt Thomas, Drew Gooden, Donyell Marshall, and Larry Hughes. Though some did not go to the predicted team and two teams (Boston and Minnesota) did the total opposite of the report, it still showed why knowing the key and lesser prospects is key in determining draft status and team needs.

This ranking does not address team needs.

For the listing I have separated the players into two groups with Memphis players being ranked with the top group because of their schedule (wins) over Tier 1 schools. I also consider the fact Memphis stayed when the previous elite Conference USA schools moved to the Big East.

The PCM (Positive Contribution Meter) is a Composite System that analyzes player results using the same formula, across 3 categories, and measures on the “aggregate”, making no adjustments for minutes played.


Tier 1 Conference Schools

Name

Rank Total

Rank Per Minute

Rank Per Game

Composite Rank

Position

Michael Beasley

1

1

1

1.00

F

Kevin Love

2

2

2

2.00

F

Richard Hendrix

4

3

3

3.33

F

D.J. White

3

6

4

4.33

PF

Aleks Maric

5

4

5

4.67

C

Dwayne Curtis

6

10

7

7.67

PF

Maarty Leunen

7

11

6

8.00

PF

Marreese Speights

9

5

12

8.67

F

J.J. Hickson

22

8

11

13.67

F

Kentrell Gransberry

21

13

9

14.33

PF

Shan Foster

11

23

10

14.67

SG

Chris Douglas-Roberts

8

16

20

14.67

G

Roy Hibbert

20

7

18

15.00

C

Brook Lopez

30

9

8

15.67

F/C

Charles Rhodes

24

17

13

18.00

PF

James Gist

17

25

15

19.00

PF

Joe Alexander

14

28

22

21.33

F

Derrick Rose

12

26

26

21.33

G

Sean Singletary

19

31

16

22.00

PG

Darnell Jackson

16

14

43

24.33

PF

Mario Chalmers

13

30

31

24.67

G

D.J. Augustin

10

50

17

25.67

G

Joey Dorsey

26

18

42

28.67

PF

Kosta Koufos

25

24

38

29.00

C

Anthony Randolph

35

33

21

29.67

F

Wayne Ellington

15

39

39

31.00

G

Donte Greene

23

52

23

32.67

F

Darian Townes

41

12

46

33.00

PF/C

Ty Lawson

47

15

40

34.00

G

Jamont Gordon

27

49

27

34.33

G

DeMarcus Nelson

33

36

36

35.00

SG

Brian Laing

28

60

19

35.67

SG

Kyle Weaver

29

48

33

36.67

SG

Jamar Butler

18

65

28

37.00

PG

O.J. Mayo

31

61

24

38.67

G

Malik Hairston

46

38

32

38.67

SF

DeMarre Carroll

51

20

45

38.67

F

Geary Claxton

85

19

14

39.33

0

Danny Green

39

21

59

39.67

G/F

Darrell Arthur

34

29

57

40.00

F

Chase Budinger

32

59

30

40.33

G

Jerryd Bayless

44

55

25

41.33

G

Eric Gordon

38

57

29

41.33

G

Mykal Riley

42

45

41

42.67

SG/SF

Brandon Rush

36

53

48

45.67

G

Othello Hunter

45

42

53

46.67

PF

Richard Roby

43

63

35

47.00

SG

Shaun Pruitt

54

37

50

47.00

PF/C

Bill Walker

60

35

47

47.33

F

Brian Butch

52

32

60

48.00

C

Quan Prowell

67

44

34

48.33

SF/PF

Martin Zeno

48

62

37

49.00

0

David Padgett

77

22

49

49.33

C

JaJuan Smith

49

46

55

50.00

PG/SG

Sundiata Gaines

40

67

44

50.33

PG

DeVon Hardin

68

27

58

51.00

C

Russell Westbrook

37

73

56

55.33

G

Robin Lopez

59

40

71

56.67

F/C

Jiri Hubalek

65

43

69

59.00

PF/C

Anthony Morrow

61

64

54

59.67

SG

Anthony King

66

41

72

59.67

PF

Gavin Grant

62

68

51

60.33

SF

Robert Dozier

57

56

70

61.00

F

Davon Jefferson

70

54

62

62.00

F

Chris Lofton

53

69

64

62.00

SG

Stefhon Hannah

88

47

52

62.33

PG

Sonny Weems

58

70

61

63.00

SG/SF

James Mays

72

51

66

63.00

PF

DeAndre Jordan

76

34

80

63.33

C

Drew Neitzel

55

72

65

64.00

PG

A.J. Abrams

50

83

63

65.33

G

Deron Washington

56

75

67

66.00

SG/SF

Josh Carter

64

74

73

70.33

G/F

Joe Crawford

69

80

68

72.33

SG

Russell Robinson

63

79

78

73.33

PG

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute

74

76

74

74.67

F

Joseph Jones

75

71

82

76.00

PF/C

Sasha Kaun

82

58

89

76.33

C

Dominique Kirk

71

86

79

78.67

PG

Derrick Low

73

90

77

80.00

PG/SG

Jonathan Wallace

78

82

81

80.33

PG

Longar Longar

81

78

84

81.00

C

Marcus Dove

79

91

76

82.00

SF

Derrick Caracter

89

66

91

82.00

F

Bryce Taylor

83

89

75

82.33

SG

Ryan Anderson

80

87

83

83.33

F

Patrick Ewing Jr.

86

77

87

83.33

Jr

Brian Randle

87

88

86

87.00

SF

Jawann McClellan

84

94

85

87.67

SG

Steven Hill

92

81

92

88.33

C

Tyrelle Blair

91

85

90

88.67

C

Marcel Jones

90

92

88

90.00

SF

Lorenzo Mata-Real

94

84

94

90.67

PF/C

Aaron Bruce

93

93

93

93.00

PG/SG

Tier 2 Conference Schools

Name

Rank Total

Rank Per Minute

Rank Per Game

Composite Rank

Position

J.R. Giddens

95

96

95

95.33

SG

Lee Cummard

96

97

96

96.33

G

Pat Calathes

97

100

97

98.00

SF

Rob McKiver

99

105

99

101.00

PG/SG

Shawn James

107

95

101

101.00

F

Mark Tyndale

98

108

98

101.33

SG

Marcelus Kemp

101

103

100

101.33

SG

Trent Plaisted

103

98

105

102.00

F/C

Gary Forbes

100

107

102

103.00

SG/SF

Will Daniels

104

101

104

103.00

PF

JaVale McGee

105

99

106

103.33

C

Mike Green

102

106

103

103.67

PG

Brian Roberts

106

112

107

108.33

PG

Randal Falker

109

109

109

109.00

PF

Josh Duncan

111

104

113

109.33

PF

Robert Vaden

108

114

108

110.00

G

Reggie Huffman

114

102

114

110.00

F

Jeremy Pargo

110

113

110

111.00

G

Dion Dowell

112

110

111

111.00

SF

Parfait Bitee

113

115

112

113.33

PG

A.J. Graves

115

117

115

115.67

PG/SG

Abdullahi Kuso

118

111

118

115.67

PF

Kojo Mensah

117

116

116

116.33

G

Stanley Burrell

116

118

117

117.00

PG

Tier 3 Conference Schools

Name

Rank Total

Rank Per Minute

Rank Per Game

Composite Rank

Position

Jason Thompson

119

120

120

119.67

C

Reggie Williams

123

119

119

120.33

SG

Lester Hudson

120

121

121

120.67

G

George Hill

122

124

122

122.67

G

Kyle Hines

124

122

123

123.00

PF

Jaycee Carroll

121

128

124

124.33

SG

Bryant Dunston

128

123

125

125.33

PF

Bo McCalebb

125

125

127

125.67

PG

Vladimir Kuljanin

129

126

129

128.00

C

Courtney Lee

126

127

131

128.00

SG

Charron Fisher

130

129

126

128.33

SF/PF

Demetric Bennett

127

130

128

128.33

SG

Stefon Jackson

131

133

130

131.33

G

Frank Elegar

133

131

133

132.33

PF

Mickell Gladness

134

132

132

132.67

C

Bryan Smithson

136

136

134

135.33

PG

Josh Akognon

135

134

137

135.33

G

Jason Richards

132

140

136

136.00

PG

Bruce Price

137

139

138

138.00

G

Alex Harris

138

138

140

138.67

SG

Antoine Agudio

140

143

135

139.33

PG/SG

Adrian Banks

144

135

139

139.33

SG

Marvin Kilgore

139

141

143

141.00

PG

Chris Daniels

145

137

142

141.33

C

Roy Bright

142

144

141

142.33

SF

Taj McCullough

141

142

144

142.33

SF/PF

Courtney Pigram

143

146

145

144.67

G

Demetrius Johnson

146

145

146

145.67

PG

Not Ranked

C.J. Giles

F

Kalen Grimes

F

Ronald Steele

G

Takais Brown

PF

Lorenzo Wade

F

Torre Johnson

SF

Walter Sharpe

F

James Davis

C

Paul Graham III

G/F

Jonte Flowers

SG

Raymond Wright

F

Charles Carter

F

Derek Bailey

G/F

Gordon Watt

F

Jason Bennett

C

John Riek

C

Keith Brumbaugh

G/F

Kiwan Smith

G/F

Red = Insufficient Minutes for Ranking

Blue = Insufficient Information for Ranking