NCAA PCM – Draft Board / Report 2008

By Guichard Cadet

Unlike previous drafts, the activity will mainly center on the picks themselves and NOT the current players traded. Though I do foresee 3 key trades, selecting the Lottery (top 14 picks) proved much harder than previous years.

Thankfully, the PCM helped clear some of the confusion, which led to a DRAFT BOARD based on “NEED” as opposed to strictly a projection of where a team plans to be in X number of years. This is the reality of today’s NBA where player movement is technically “RESTRICTED” until realistically their 8^th year in the league, unless they have no value to their team.

So, teams should look to not get saddled with “unmovable” contracts and use the draft to build a core of 3 KEY young players.

FIRST ROUND
Pick Number	TEAM	CHOICE
1	Chicago Bulls	Derrick Rose
	Would not be surprised if Beasley is the pick. Drafting Rose creates a messy situation, leading to forced trades - Hinrich / Nocioni.
2	Miami Heat	Michael Beasley
3	Minnesota Timberwolves	Brook Lopez
	If McHale is a gambler, trade down for DeAndre Jordan.
4	Seattle Supersonics	O.J. Mayo
5	Memphis Grizzlies	Kevin Love
6	New York Knicks	Trade Pick
	Such a logjam at every position. Cannot think of a player to draft. Best to to clear contracts, the mid-sized one first: Richardson, Jeffries and James.
7	Los Angeles Clippers	D.J. Augustin
8	Milwaukee Bucks	Trade Pick
	Need an infusion of talent at every position, except SG: Redd, the guy making the most and is ironically the trade bait.
9	Charlotte Bobcats	Roy Hibbert
10	New Jersey Nets	D.J. White
11	Indiana Pacers	Jamar Butler
	There's talk of a trade for a PG and change of culture. Too much talent to throw-in the towel; wait until mid-season to decide.
12	Sacramento Kings	Kentrell Gransberry
13	Portland Trail Blazers	Russell Westbrook
14	Golden State Warriors	Jerryd Bayless
15	Phoenix Suns (from Atlanta)	Chris Douglas-Roberts
16	Philadelphia 76ers	Marreese Speights
17	Toronto Raptors	DeAndre Jordan -- OFF THE BOARD PICK
	Package the right players to get Minny's pick to give Bosh more help, or take this gamble.
18	Washington Wizards	Joe Alexander
19	Cleveland Cavaliers	Eric Gordon -- OFF THE BOARD PICK
	Give up the expiring contracts and take back SALARY for the Knicks or Bucks pick, unless Gordon is still available.
20	Denver Nuggets	Darrell Arthur
21	New Jersey Nets (from Dallas)	Anthony Randolph
22	Orlando Magic	Jamont Gordon
23	Utah Jazz	Robin Lopez
24	Seattle SuperSonics (from Phoenix)	JaVale McGee -- OFF THE BOARD PICK
	Keep drafting Centers until one pans out, or get expiring contracts for teams looking to get younger.
25	Houston Rockets	Brandon Rush
26	San Antonio Spurs	Richard Roby
27	New Orleans	Joey Dorsey
28	Memphis Grizzlies (from L.A. Lakers)	Trade Pick
	No need to bring in another young player, get an expiring contract to shed more salary.
29	Detroit Pistons	Bill Walker
30	Boston Celtics	DeVon Hardin
	*3 First Round Trades would most affect the "Off the Board Picks": DeAndre Jordan, Eric Gordon; or selection of International Players.
SECOND ROUND
Pick Number	TEAM	CHOICE
31	Minnesota Timberwolves (from Miami)	Donte Greene
32	Seattle Supersonics	Davon Jefferson
33	Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis)	Shan Foster
34	Minnesota Timberwolves	Kyle Weaver
35	Los Angeles Clippers	DeMarcus Nelson
36	Portland Trail Blazers (from New York)	Mario Chalmers
37	Milwaukee Bucks	Richard Hendrix
38	Charlotte Bobcats	Sasha Kaun
39	Chicago Bulls	Luc Richard Mbah a Moute
40	New Jersey Nets	Aleks Maric
41	Indiana Pacers	J.J. Hickson
42	Sacramento Kings (from Atlanta)	Sean Singletary
43	Sacramento Kings	Shaun Pruitt
44	Utah Jazz (from Philadelphia)	Chris Lofton
45	San Antonio Spurs (from Toronto)	Darnell Jackson
46	Seattle SuperSonics (from Portland)	David Padgett
47	Washington Wizards	Patrick Ewing Jr.
48	Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland)	Courtney Lee
49	Golden State Warriors	Kyle Hines
50	Seattle SuperSonics (from Denver)	Pat Calathes
51	Dallas Mavericks	Jason Thompson
52	Miami Heat (from Orlando)	Deron Washington
53	Utah Jazz	Reggie Williams
54	Houston Rockets	Malik Hairston
55	Portland Trail Blazers (from Phoenix)	Sundiata Gaines
56	Seattle SuperSonics (from New Orleans)	J.R. Giddens
57	San Antonio Spurs	Mark Tyndale
58	Los Angeles Lakers	Jaycee Carroll
59	Detroit Pistons	Gary Forbes
60	Boston Celtics	Trent Plaisted

NCAA PCM – Draft Applicants 2008

By Guichard Cadet

As a prelude to this year’s pre-draft report, here is a ranking of this year’s Eligible players on the eve of the final day to “pull out”.

In last year’s pre-NBA Draft report, I listed 10 of the 14 players selected by lottery teams (not a hard feat) because most watchers know who the best players are. A similar report will come on the eve of the draft.

To go with drawing up a list, the key was predicting 15 current NBA players to be traded: Ray Allen, Pau Gasol, Wally Szczerbiak, Jason Richardson, Ben Wallace, Mike Bibby, Nazr Mohammed, Jason Kidd, Steve Francis, Shawn Marion, Kurt Thomas, Drew Gooden, Donyell Marshall, and Larry Hughes. Though some did not go to the predicted team and two teams (Boston and Minnesota) did the total opposite of the report, it still showed why knowing the key and lesser prospects is key in determining draft status and team needs.

This ranking does not address team needs.

For the listing I have separated the players into two groups with Memphis players being ranked with the top group because of their schedule (wins) over Tier 1 schools. I also consider the fact Memphis stayed when the previous elite Conference USA schools moved to the Big East.

The PCM (Positive Contribution Meter) is a Composite System that analyzes player results using the same formula, across 3 categories, and measures on the “aggregate”, making no adjustments for minutes played.

Tier 1 Conference Schools
Name	Rank Total		Rank Per Minute	Rank Per Game	Composite Rank	Position
Michael Beasley	1		1	1	1.00	F
Kevin Love	2		2	2	2.00	F
Richard Hendrix	4		3	3	3.33	F
D.J. White	3		6	4	4.33	PF
Aleks Maric	5		4	5	4.67	C
Dwayne Curtis	6		10	7	7.67	PF
Maarty Leunen	7		11	6	8.00	PF
Marreese Speights	9		5	12	8.67	F
J.J. Hickson	22		8	11	13.67	F
Kentrell Gransberry	21		13	9	14.33	PF
Shan Foster	11		23	10	14.67	SG
Chris Douglas-Roberts	8		16	20	14.67	G
Roy Hibbert	20		7	18	15.00	C
Brook Lopez	30		9	8	15.67	F/C
Charles Rhodes	24		17	13	18.00	PF
James Gist	17		25	15	19.00	PF
Joe Alexander	14		28	22	21.33	F
Derrick Rose	12		26	26	21.33	G
Sean Singletary	19		31	16	22.00	PG
Darnell Jackson	16		14	43	24.33	PF
Mario Chalmers	13		30	31	24.67	G
D.J. Augustin	10		50	17	25.67	G
Joey Dorsey	26		18	42	28.67	PF
Kosta Koufos	25		24	38	29.00	C
Anthony Randolph	35		33	21	29.67	F
Wayne Ellington	15		39	39	31.00	G
Donte Greene	23		52	23	32.67	F
Darian Townes	41		12	46	33.00	PF/C
Ty Lawson	47		15	40	34.00	G
Jamont Gordon	27		49	27	34.33	G
DeMarcus Nelson	33		36	36	35.00	SG
Brian Laing	28		60	19	35.67	SG
Kyle Weaver	29		48	33	36.67	SG
Jamar Butler	18		65	28	37.00	PG
O.J. Mayo	31		61	24	38.67	G
Malik Hairston	46		38	32	38.67	SF
DeMarre Carroll	51		20	45	38.67	F
Geary Claxton	85		19	14	39.33	0
Danny Green	39		21	59	39.67	G/F
Darrell Arthur	34		29	57	40.00	F
Chase Budinger	32		59	30	40.33	G
Jerryd Bayless	44		55	25	41.33	G
Eric Gordon	38		57	29	41.33	G
Mykal Riley	42		45	41	42.67	SG/SF
Brandon Rush	36		53	48	45.67	G
Othello Hunter	45		42	53	46.67	PF
Richard Roby	43		63	35	47.00	SG
Shaun Pruitt	54		37	50	47.00	PF/C
Bill Walker	60		35	47	47.33	F
Brian Butch	52		32	60	48.00	C
Quan Prowell	67		44	34	48.33	SF/PF
Martin Zeno	48		62	37	49.00	0
David Padgett	77		22	49	49.33	C
JaJuan Smith	49		46	55	50.00	PG/SG
Sundiata Gaines	40		67	44	50.33	PG
DeVon Hardin	68		27	58	51.00	C
Russell Westbrook	37		73	56	55.33	G
Robin Lopez	59		40	71	56.67	F/C
Jiri Hubalek	65		43	69	59.00	PF/C
Anthony Morrow	61		64	54	59.67	SG
Anthony King	66		41	72	59.67	PF
Gavin Grant	62		68	51	60.33	SF
Robert Dozier	57		56	70	61.00	F
Davon Jefferson	70		54	62	62.00	F
Chris Lofton	53		69	64	62.00	SG
Stefhon Hannah	88		47	52	62.33	PG
Sonny Weems	58		70	61	63.00	SG/SF
James Mays	72		51	66	63.00	PF
DeAndre Jordan	76		34	80	63.33	C
Drew Neitzel	55		72	65	64.00	PG
A.J. Abrams	50		83	63	65.33	G
Deron Washington	56		75	67	66.00	SG/SF
Josh Carter	64		74	73	70.33	G/F
Joe Crawford	69		80	68	72.33	SG
Russell Robinson	63		79	78	73.33	PG
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute	74		76	74	74.67	F
Joseph Jones	75		71	82	76.00	PF/C
Sasha Kaun	82		58	89	76.33	C
Dominique Kirk	71		86	79	78.67	PG
Derrick Low	73		90	77	80.00	PG/SG
Jonathan Wallace	78		82	81	80.33	PG
Longar Longar	81		78	84	81.00	C
Marcus Dove	79		91	76	82.00	SF
Derrick Caracter	89		66	91	82.00	F
Bryce Taylor	83		89	75	82.33	SG
Ryan Anderson	80		87	83	83.33	F
Patrick Ewing Jr.	86		77	87	83.33	Jr
Brian Randle	87		88	86	87.00	SF
Jawann McClellan	84		94	85	87.67	SG
Steven Hill	92		81	92	88.33	C
Tyrelle Blair	91		85	90	88.67	C
Marcel Jones	90		92	88	90.00	SF
Lorenzo Mata-Real	94		84	94	90.67	PF/C
Aaron Bruce	93		93	93	93.00	PG/SG
Tier 2 Conference Schools
Name		Rank Total	Rank Per Minute	Rank Per Game	Composite Rank	Position
J.R. Giddens		95	96	95	95.33	SG
Lee Cummard		96	97	96	96.33	G
Pat Calathes		97	100	97	98.00	SF
Rob McKiver		99	105	99	101.00	PG/SG
Shawn James		107	95	101	101.00	F
Mark Tyndale		98	108	98	101.33	SG
Marcelus Kemp		101	103	100	101.33	SG
Trent Plaisted		103	98	105	102.00	F/C
Gary Forbes		100	107	102	103.00	SG/SF
Will Daniels		104	101	104	103.00	PF
JaVale McGee		105	99	106	103.33	C
Mike Green		102	106	103	103.67	PG
Brian Roberts		106	112	107	108.33	PG
Randal Falker		109	109	109	109.00	PF
Josh Duncan		111	104	113	109.33	PF
Robert Vaden		108	114	108	110.00	G
Reggie Huffman		114	102	114	110.00	F
Jeremy Pargo		110	113	110	111.00	G
Dion Dowell		112	110	111	111.00	SF
Parfait Bitee		113	115	112	113.33	PG
A.J. Graves		115	117	115	115.67	PG/SG
Abdullahi Kuso		118	111	118	115.67	PF
Kojo Mensah		117	116	116	116.33	G
Stanley Burrell		116	118	117	117.00	PG
Tier 3 Conference Schools
Name		Rank Total	Rank Per Minute	Rank Per Game	Composite Rank	Position
Jason Thompson		119	120	120	119.67	C
Reggie Williams		123	119	119	120.33	SG
Lester Hudson		120	121	121	120.67	G
George Hill		122	124	122	122.67	G
Kyle Hines		124	122	123	123.00	PF
Jaycee Carroll		121	128	124	124.33	SG
Bryant Dunston		128	123	125	125.33	PF
Bo McCalebb		125	125	127	125.67	PG
Vladimir Kuljanin		129	126	129	128.00	C
Courtney Lee		126	127	131	128.00	SG
Charron Fisher		130	129	126	128.33	SF/PF
Demetric Bennett		127	130	128	128.33	SG
Stefon Jackson		131	133	130	131.33	G
Frank Elegar		133	131	133	132.33	PF
Mickell Gladness		134	132	132	132.67	C
Bryan Smithson		136	136	134	135.33	PG
Josh Akognon		135	134	137	135.33	G
Jason Richards		132	140	136	136.00	PG
Bruce Price		137	139	138	138.00	G
Alex Harris		138	138	140	138.67	SG
Antoine Agudio		140	143	135	139.33	PG/SG
Adrian Banks		144	135	139	139.33	SG
Marvin Kilgore		139	141	143	141.00	PG
Chris Daniels		145	137	142	141.33	C
Roy Bright		142	144	141	142.33	SF
Taj McCullough		141	142	144	142.33	SF/PF
Courtney Pigram		143	146	145	144.67	G
Demetrius Johnson		146	145	146	145.67	PG
Not Ranked
C.J. Giles						F
Kalen Grimes						F
Ronald Steele						G
Takais Brown						PF
Lorenzo Wade						F
Torre Johnson						SF
Walter Sharpe						F
James Davis						C
Paul Graham III						G/F
Jonte Flowers						SG
Raymond Wright						F
Charles Carter						F
Derek Bailey						G/F
Gordon Watt						F
Jason Bennett						C
John Riek						C
Keith Brumbaugh						G/F
Kiwan Smith						G/F
Red = Insufficient Minutes for Ranking
Blue = Insufficient Information for Ranking